Future Shaping

by Henk Botha  FIAC  B. IUR. LL.B
© 2000 Bellstone Training (International) Limited
You may not reproduce this Report or any part of it without the express written permission of Bellstone Training (International) Limited, First Floor, Victory House, 99 - 101 Regent Street, London W1R 7HB, England

Can you sometimes predict how people will respond to your proposals? As a seller, you probably expect buyers to say, "Your price is too high!" or, "If you don't give me another 5% discount, I'll have to take my business elsewhere." As a buyer, you probably expect sellers to put pressure on you to buy now, instead of tomorrow. Or, you may think that the seller will not deliver on time. As a job seeker, you may think that the prospective employer may think that you are too old, too young or too inexperienced for the job. You can probably think of many situations where you can almost guarantee that the other person will react in a certain way.
Smart negotiators use the Future Shaping technique to shape the other person's predictable behavior. With this technique you deal with the problem up front and shape the deal around it.

Example 1

Years ago, I applied for a high-powered, professional job. Although I had all the right qualifications and experience, I knew that the interviewing committee would probably think (although they would not outright say so) that I was too young for the job. During the interview, I said, "I know that my age could count against me, even where I have the qualifications for the job. I'm convinced that my age is an advantage, but I want to make sure that you are comfortable about it." Having said this, I anticipated the committee's predictable behavior. Also, I got them to expressly confirm that they would not use age as a criterion for selecting the right candidate. As it turned out, I landed the job against very stiff competition. Afterwards, I reliably heard that, before the interview, some committee members had expressed concern that I might be too young for the job!

Example 2

Perhaps you are negotiating with someone whom you expect will raise a price objection. Instead of waiting for the objection, you say, "I know that at some point you'll probably think that the price is too high. Do you think so now?" If he says "Yes", you can now deal with the objection.
By mentioning that you expect the customer to feel that the price is high, you are shaping his future feeling. You are programming his behavior. Also, you are reinforcing his trust in you, because you have predicted his future behavior. After all, trust is the firm belief in reliability and predictability.

Example 3

Have you ever negotiated with someone who used the "Nibbling Tactic" on you? Just when you thought that you had a deal, the other person gently asked for another little concession, and another, and another.
If you think that the other person might ask for last minute concessions, ask, "Do we have agreement?" If he says, "Yes", ask, "What do we do if you want some changes later on?" If he says, "I'm happy with the deal as it is", ask him, "Is it OK with you that in the unlikely event of you asking for changes later on, that I can then also ask for changes?"
Can you see what has happened? If he says that he is happy with the deal as it is, he is committing himself out loud for the deal. You have then programmed his future behavior. You also shaped his future expectation that you'll insist on changes if he asks for further concessions.

Example 4

Let's say you are dealing with a distributor who is always late with deliveries. The negotiation might sound like this:
You: "Will you deliver on Wednesday next week?"
Seller: "Yes."
You: "What should I do if you don't deliver on Wednesday?"
Seller: "Look, you'll get delivery on Wednesday."
You: "Well, in the unlikely event that you cannot deliver on Wednesday, can we take 5% off the purchase price to cover our expenses?"

Example 5

Have you experienced that feeling after making a deal that you have made a mistake? Or has someone tried to cancel a deal with you after a day or two? This is called "buyer's remorse", that feeling that one has made a mistake. You can use "Future Shaping" to manage this behavior by someone with whom you negotiate. Let's say you are selling your car. Before signing the final deal, you say, "If we make this deal, how do I know that you won't come back to me tomorrow, or at some other time, wanting to cancel the deal?"
Your buyer might say, "I won't want to cancel the deal." You may respond, "But in the unlikely event that you do want to cancel the deal, would it be OK for me to refuse?"
When you use Future Shaping, you anticipate the other person's behavior. Simultaneously, you shape his future expectation.